The Long-Range Future of the Navy Phase II, 1972-1985. Volume I
Abe, H H; Kohn, E R; Ling, J G; Meyer, W F; Schlaff, R J; Strasser, J C; Wyttenbach, R H; McEachen, A D (1972-06-19). The Long-Range Future of the Navy Phase II, 1972-1985. Volume I. Research Project Report (Report). Newport, RI: Naval War College. p. 276.
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Abstract: This study is an analysis of current trends undertaken for the purpose of identifying those environmental factors which might impact on the Navy in the 1972-1905 time frame. The five environments considered are: international, sociological, corporate, technological, and military. The report is a continuation of "The Long Range Future of the Navy" study which began in the 1970-1971 academic year. Volume 2 contains essays on each of the environments mentioned above, as well as conclusions, implications for national security, and areas for further study. Volume 2 consists of key points, tentative implications for the U. S. Navy, and an epilog, all of which are oriented to future researchers at the U. S. Naval War College and follow-on phases of this study. Multipolarity is characterized as the most likely international environment to evolve during the forecast period. Significant changes in the post-World War II alliance system and a decline in the relative importance of military power are predicted...
"...The Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands (Micronesia) will have achieved a new political status. The United States will no longer administer Micronesia as a strategic trustee¬ ship, The actual political status of Micronesia is under active negotiation at this time. It is predicted that the Micronesians will gain complete internal self-government with the United States being responsible only for Micronesia's foreign affairs and defense. It is reasonable to expect that the U.S. Government will obtain long-term base rights in the islands, perhaps in return for guaranteed economic assistance levels and other political concessions. The Mariana Islands District, presently one of the six districts of the trusteeship, will elect to separate itself from the other districts and opt for a closer association with the United States, leading ultimately to "reintegration" with Guam..."
